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Football Betting Secrets: Making Money From The Weather


Sports Betting on the NFL and college football is a national pastime. Every week millions of dollars are bet on the home town favorites with local bookies. People bet even more money with online sports book agencies. Even the major news services publish all the betting stats. If you're going to bet money on games, you might as well be as informed as possible! There are even many sports betting sites that provide up-to-the-minute information on your favorite teams and this weeks games.

Football Betting is a way that professional "smart money" gamblers make money. One of the most overlooked ways to make money from football betting is by understanding the teams, and how they will play in different weather conditions.

Let's look at an example of my analysis of a game where the teams were expected to play in a driving rainstorm:

Oakland at Seattle -7

This game presents a bit of a mystery since Seattle is playing without their #1 QB and without their #1 running back. This means that all the previous stats, etc., are pretty much meaningless in terms of handicapping this game. Generally speaking, I like to stay away from games like this because they are typically what I call "coin flip" games -that is there isn't enough data to determine if the odds are in your favor or not.

However... this game may be an exception. Let me explain why.

First and foremost, Seattle's defense took them to the Super Bowl last year, but they've stunk out the joint this year. In Seattle's last 5 games, they've given up 35, 31, 28, 37, and 42 points. This may be the most stunning surprise of this season. And who did they give up this many points to? High-powered teams like Indianapolis? Nope. They gave up these points to KC, Minnesota, St. Louis, Chicago, and the Giants. Sure, these teams are decent, but keep in mind Minnesota could barely score against SF, and the other teams have been inconsistent on offesne all season -except when they played Seattle. In their two early wins the defense looked good, but keep in mind those games were against Arizona and Detroit.

Oakland on the other hand has played horrible all season on offense. They managed just 98 total yards against Pittsburgh, a team that's been abused defensively all season. Oakland is averaging only 123 yards per game passing, which is really astonishing considering they've been in many games where they needed to play catch-up and still couldn't manage to rack up many yards, even against other team's prevent defense. It's even more astonishing considering that they have Randy Moss to throw to. Moss should at least get some double-coverage which you'd think would free up somebody, somewhere in the secondary.

It used to be that classic games pitted the immovable force vs. the unstoppable object. This game is the exact opposite. It's the inept offense vs. the inept defense. Oakland is ranked dead last in the NFL in offense. Seattle is ranked 29th in defense. Who know's what's going to happen?

Well, we don't know exactly what's going to happen in the game, but what we do know about is the weather. It's pouring in Seattle today, and they're expecting 2 inches of rain. The wind is at 18 mph, gusting to 23 mph. The field is covered, but it's going to be VERY sloppy tonight and very windy. The rain is expected to get heavier by tonight's 5:30 pm PST start (8:30 EST).

Now there are two schools of thought on this. The first is that the sloppy conditions will lead to more turnovers, and make it easier to pass because the receivers know where they're going, but the defenders have to react. Plus, the sloppy conditions are going to lead to possibly more turnovers, etc. But this cuts both ways. The turnovers could easily come when a team is knocking on the door about to score as they could when they're backed up near their own goal line. The other school of thought is that the weather is going to make it next to impossible to move the ball and score. This is why the o/u line is sitting at 36.

The o/u line is also sitting at 36 because Seattle QB Senaca Wallace has one of the most pathetic QB ratings possible, a measly 59.0. I say "one of the most pathetic" QB ratings because Oakland's QB Andrew Walter has an ever worse rating at 49.0. This may be lowest combined QB ratings of any game in the NFL.

So what's this all mean? First, it means that Seattle has the edge because of Seneca Wallace. Wallace, unlike Walter, is like having an extra back in the backfield. Oakland's defensive line is going to have problems with their footing, and when they do break into the backfield, Wallace is going to be quick to sprint forward out of the pocket and the Raider defenders are going to be helpless to react on the wet turf. Wallace stinks throwing the ball anyway so the wind isn't going to affect him as much as it's going to affect Walter, a more classic drop-back QB.

So the bottom line is this. I do NOT recommend even playing this game because there move the ball on the ground, especially with Wallace running the ball out of the pocket. With all this in mind, I look for Seattle are too many unknowns. However, if you really feel like you must take a side on this game I look for Oakland to have trouble scoring, probably scoring in the single digits. I look for Seattle to be able to to win 17-6.

What really happened in this game? Seneca Wallace, Seattle's QB, had 49 yards rushing, including a key run of 37 yards. Seattle won 16-0.

David James is one of the world's foremost football betting experts. Not only does James have an uncanny knack for knowing who to bet on, but he also is one of the best at providing in depth explanations and statistics showing exactly why each pick meets his criteria. http://www.davidjamessports.com




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"Excellent betting system! If I were you, I would sell this at much higher price. Good luck with your business"
M. Cornick, Martins Heron - UK



"I used to subscribe to a £300 monthly tipping service, now I got my own picks with even better ROI at bargaining price. Hope this horse racing system goes well! Good luck"
S. Lewis, Sheffield-UK



"What a system! Very well researched method with sensible principles!"
T. May, East Lothian-UK



"I just wanted to let you know that I have been using your system for a couple of months now and the results have been exactly as you predicted. I would also like to thank you for your excellent service since I purchased the system. You have answered all of my queries promptly and with patience. Please let me know if you ever create another system as I will want to be first in the queue"
Mark Johnson, Markfield - UK



"Having purchased this horse racing system and contacted the the system provider on a few occasions to confirm I have the correct selection I have found him very helpful and sincere and I am sure I am now on my way to a TAX free 2nd income ..."
J. Ritchie, Edinburgh - UK



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R. Mattingley, Wokingham - UK



"After purchasing many systems that you see online I knew that there would have to be one out there that actually worked. Needless to say I finally found this system that produces winner after winner and if you are a normal punter like myself and you want to start getting your money back of the bookie then I highly recommend that you purchase this horse racing system. You won't be disappointed"
Brian Lawless - Ireland



"I bought yesterday your Golden Star horse racing system and let me tell you, I'm blown away. The concept is great! So much, that I'm sitting now and wondering why I punish myself beside computer all day. OK, thanks again - I'm in seventh heaven."
D. Gentle, Peterborough - UK



"No broken promises and no unrealistic claims. You get exactly what it says. Great horse racing system"
T. Charlton, Nantwich - UK



"I bought your system about a month and a half ago from you and this message is just to say thank you for a great system. Like anything in life the system as it's up's and down's but never losses it's 60%+ strike rate. I have bought a lot of so called 80%+ strike rate systems before but yours is the only system that works for me."
Steven Trindall, Doncaster - UK



"I'd let you know that either I've been incredibly lucky or your system is far too good to be on the market! I can't keep sneaking off to my computer every day. Sorry to be cheeky, but I'm on a roll now, my bank has doubled now and I have every confidence to double my stake WOW! Your system is a genuine one based on sound thinking and it works, anyone who can't make money from it just shouldn't be gambling!"
Steven Trindall, Doncaster - UK



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B. More, Worcester - UK



"Briliant horse racing system that makes me foresee the race. Couldn't wait to put real money"
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"Always busy at my main job and didn't like to bet again but I was so lucky decided to buy this superb horse racing system. Nothing can deny the profitability of it. Money just keeps coming into my Betfair account. I'm asking my 9th years old son to do it for me! Such a simple and efficient method"
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"Paper test 6 days, only 1 slightly losing day, the other 5 are winning days! Great horse racing system!Thanks for sharing"
T. OBrien, Warminster-UK